- DFC Intelligence predicts the Nintendo Switch 2 may achieve sales of 16 million units by the year’s end
- This would crown it as the “fastest-selling console ever,” surpassing the Switch, PS4, and Wii
- The forecast also anticipates total sales reaching 100 million by the close of 2029
As the highly anticipated Nintendo Switch 2 approaches its launch next month, industry analysts are painting a promising picture for its sales trajectory. DFC Intelligence has projected that the console could reach an impressive 16 million units sold by the end of 2025, potentially establishing it as the fastest-selling console in history, overtaking the original Switch, the PlayStation 4, and the Wii.
This fresh forecast shines brightly just ahead of the console’s global release on June 5, 2025. Originally, DFC had estimated 15 million units for the year but has since increased this figure to 16 million due to positive market sentiment. Depending on production efficiency, there’s even a slim chance that total sales could hit 20 million, although DFC expressed skepticism about that possibility because of Nintendo’s cautious inventory management recently.
If these projections hold true, the Switch 2 would achieve sales milestones faster than its predecessors. Historically, the original Nintendo Switch was expected to sell 10 million units but quickly exceeded that goal, ultimately selling 15 million. The anticipated sales for the Switch 2 not only reflect demand but also lean on features like backward compatibility and a robust catalog of software designed to boost user engagement.
DFC Intelligence forecasts that by 2029, the Switch 2 could accumulate over 100 million units sold. The firm states, “The Switch 2, alongside the rise of portable PC gaming devices, is altering the very fabric of the video gaming sector,” a comment that underscores the console’s potential to redefine gaming norms and captivate a larger audience.
Comparatively, when launched in 2017, the original Switch reached the remarkable feat of 100 million units sold by 2022. If the Switch 2 meets the 100 million target within the next few years, it would illustrate a remarkable acceleration compared to its predecessor’s timeline. This projection, however, must be weighed against Nintendo’s more conservative estimate of roughly 15 million units for the fiscal year, as expressed by President Shuntaro Furukawa. He attributed this cautious outlook to the console’s higher price point, which is set at $449.99 in the U.S. and £395.99 in the U.K., a strategic decision that could influence consumer adoption rates.
Yet, despite this elevated price tag, Nintendo remains optimistic. According to Furukawa, innovative features and bundled software offerings may be key to driving sales momentum as the fiscal year progresses, setting the stage for an exciting market entry for the Switch 2.
